Despite all the doom and gloom reported in the media, and some anecdotal evidence of some real hardships experienced by a relatively small number of people, the true picture of the market can only be determined by looking at the actual sales figures maintained by the local Multiple Listing Service. These numbers are reported as-is, and are not colored by any so-called expert opinions or biases.
It is also important to remember that real estate is a long term investment, so comparing prices one month to the next or even from one year to the next may give a false picture of whether you have made a good investment. Most people stay in their home for several years before considering selling, and no matter how volatile the day-to day market may seem, over time the values always increase.
To illustrate, I pulled records of all sales closed on Fair Oaks single family residences for each of the first seven months of this year and compared them with those during the same period in 2002, just before the market started swinging crazily up and down over the last few years. Before that there had been a number of years of steady increases year over year, and as the current market settles into that pattern again, the market will continue to rise, but more calmly.
To make the below chart, I reviewed all of the sales each month for the two years, and found the mean closing sale price for each month, then added all 7 months for each year and divided by seven to reach the annual mean. This chart will illustrate the equity increases that can be gained by planning to keep your real estate investment for several years and riding the intermediate ups and downs. Real estate is a great investment!
Call me if you have any questions about this chart.

NOTE: The figure for February 2002 includes one exceptionally high priced home (over $1 million), which skewed the average for that month considerably
